Economia na zona euro renasceu das cinzas. Será este o fim da recessão?

Indicadores mostram que a actividade industrial e manufactureira nos 17 países da moeda única entrou finalmente em zona de expansão

Pela primeira vez em dois anos, a indústria manufactureira na zona euro entrou ontem em zona de expansão, prevendo a tão desejada saída da recessão que tem vindo a dominar os países da moeda úni­ca desde 2008.

Tanto o índice dos serviços como o refe­rente à indústria manufactureira sofre­ram um aumento significativo, passan­do dos 48,3 e 48,8 registados no mês de Junho (respectivamente) para 49,6 e 50,1. O índice compósito (composto pelos dos serviços e da indústria manufactureira) atinge assim os 50,4, excedendo os 49,1 previstos o mês passado por um conjun­to de 39 analistas da Bloomberg.

ÍNDICE PMl O índice de gestores de com­pras (Purchasing Managers’ Indexes – PMI) é baseado numa sondagem elabo­rada pela Markit, uma agência econó­mica sedeada em Londres, que analisa milhares de empresas dos 17 países da moeda única com o objectivo de sondar o seu crescimento.

O PMI é tido como um indicador fiável de crescimento económico e os pontos a que o índice se refere são equivalentes a pontos percentuais, uma vez que é cal­culado através da percentagem de res­postas positivas e negativas das várias empresas.

Como uma leitura do índice acima dos 50 pontos marca a fronteira entre a recessão e o crescimento, é pon­to assente que a economia está fora da recessão. Resta saber se os indicadores se mantêm positivos nos próximos meses.

Crescimento “Hoje a surpreendente subida dos indicadores PMI suporta cla­ramente a noção de que a economia da zona euro está a deixar a recessão para trás”, explica Martin Van Vliet, economis­ta do Banco ING de Amesterdão, que con­sidera “o estímulo monetário do Banco Central Europeu (BCE), a retoma da eco­nomia mundial mais cedo que o espera­do e um abrandamento da austeridade fiscal” as principais causas do fim da con­tracção económica europeia.

A economia da zona euro estava em contracção há seis trimestres, antes de estagnar no início do mês passado. Ago­ra, segundo os analistas da Bloomberg, espera-se que a tendência de crescimen­to continue e acabe por conduzir a uma diminuição da taxa de desemprego no final do ano.

Em Maio deste ano, a produ­ção industrial da zona euro registou uma queda de 0,3% devido a quedas das duas maiores economias, a Alemanha e a Fran­ça. Agora são as mesmas potências as causadores de uma inversão na tendên­cia, com a Alemanha a entrar em território de expansão pela primeira vez desde Fevereiro e o índice manufactureiro francês a passar dos 48,4 para os 49,8.

O BCE já tinha previsto um crescimento gradual quando, numa declaração o mês passado, Mário Draghi defendeu que um crescimento nas exportações da zona euro “beneficiaria de uma recupe­ração gradual da procura global”.

Para Portugal, o presidente da Comissão Europeia, Durão Barroso, mostrou-se ontem “convencido de que o país deve­rá regressar ao mercado em 2014”, num cenário “sem acidentes políticos”. Como novo ministro da Economia, caberá a António Pires de Lima a tarefa de acom­panhar os “sinais positivos” que o levam a acreditar que o próximo trimestre será “o primeiro, após 10 trimestres de recuo”, a revelar um regresso ao crescimento.

2013-07-25 09:31
Duarte Garrido, logo_i

Finland Looks to the Future of Bioenergy

NesteSupported by abundant forest resources, Finnish bioenergy companies don’t have to look far for feedstock. But in a move to define its low-carbon future, the nation’s energy companies are undertaking ambitious research programs to develop future biofuels.

Finland is, above all, a land of abundant, and growing, forests. “We produce 100 cubic meters of wood per year, while 50 cubic meters per year is harvested. We have more forest than we can use,” said Jukka Leskelä, director of power generation for trade body Energiateollisuus, or Finnish Energy Industries. So it’s no surprise that, given an almost complete lack of indigenous fossil fuel resources, high per-capita energy consumption, and a long-running forest management program already in place, Finland is investing in biomass and biofuels in a big way as it looks to define its future energy mix.

The nation’s once-powerful forest industry has fallen on hard times, noted Leskelä. Although Finland has traditionally supported a thriving paper and pulp industry, demand for paper products has dropped, leading to factory closures. This is good news for the bioenergy sector; wood that was already slated for harvesting is now available for other uses.

The nation offers impressive support for bioenergy: a grant for 30 percent of investment in anaerobic digestion plants and 28 percent for compressors, an electricity tariff (which varies based on market price) plus €0.50/MWh if the project reuses the heat it generates. There is also a government target to replace 10 percent of the country’s natural gas with biogas by 2025.

Leskelä admits that “renewable” in Finland means bioenergy, and indeed wood-based biomass underpins over 75 percent of the nation’s planned activities to meet its 2020 climate targets. But Finland is also a high-tech economy and, in addition to an impressive 9 GW of planned wind capacity by 2020 (albeit no solar and no policy support for it), there is a good deal of research into biofuels and other new biomass-based energy solutions, much of it undertaken by fossil fuel companies looking to cash in on Finland’s dual need to gain energy independence and meet European climate targets.

Biogas

For example, Finnish natural gas supplier Gasum, which controls the national market and owns the gas pipelines in southern Finland, is working on a number of renewable solutions including waste-based fuel from anaerobic digestion, new energy crops, “bio-SNG” (wood-based synthetic biogas created through gasification), and liquefied biogas (LBG) produced in one of the company’s liquefied natural gas (LNG) plants.

Gasum aims to become Finland’s leading biogas provider, said Pasi Torri, head of biogas and renewables. Currently the company’s biogas is used to fuel Helsinki city buses, airport buses and service trucks, and is available in 18 filling stations across Finland. (Finnish filling stations have been required to offer a biogas option since 2011.) Torri said 30 percent of customers at these filling stations choose biogas over both gasoline and the cheaper option, natural gas (also offered by Gasum), which is half the price of gasoline. Biogas is 7 percent more expensive than natural gas. Gasum calculates the CO2 savings of wood-based biogas at around 93 tonnes compared to gasoline.

The company’s waste-based fuels are made from wastewater sludge, bio-waste from households and restaurants, and some industrial waste. Torri said the processes that turn these raw materials into biofuel use about 10 percent less energy than fossil fuel processing plants, depending on the process.

Gasum also plans to experiment with growing energy crops in the Kuovola region. Torri said these crops will be planted in rotation by farmers who usually grow cereal crops. But in Finland, using forest industry residues as feedstock makes more economic sense than growing energy crops. For example, Gasum plans a 200-MW gasification plant in Joutseno for forest chips and bark. Torri explained that a forest industry company already owns the land, so the plant will work with its waste products. Gasum will invest €3-4 million in the plant, along with a €300 million grant from the EU.

Compared to buying heavily taxed natural gas from Russia, it is much cheaper to make this kind of investment in biogas, said Torri. Customers are willing to pay a premium price for green energy, he said, but he acknowledges that biogas initially will be more expensive because it’s new. Gasum has a cost advantage, however, because it already owns the pipelines through which it plans to send biogas across Finland to power households and industry.

Renewable Biodiesel

Neste Oil, another Finnish company with a focus on bionenergy, was originally a traditional oil refiner that branched out into LNG. In 2007, the company started looking at developing biofuels. In Q1 2013, Neste made its first profit from renewable fuels: in that period Neste said it made €26 million in revenue from its renewables alone. “There are better margins on the renewables side,” said Petri Lehmus, vice president of research and technology.

The central focus of Neste’s R&D platform is developing new feedstocks and refining existing ones, said Lehmus. Last autumn the company launched its ProDiesel, containing a minimum of 15 percent of what the company calls renewable diesel (to distinguish it from biodiesel).

Neste Oil’s research is focused on developing a flexible feedstock base from multiple sources. Credit: Tildy Bayar

Renewable diesel can be used as a drop-in fuel, Lehmus said, and is targeted at the aviation market, with a number of fuel solutions currently being tested by aviation partners. While Neste’s biodiesel is composed of vegetable oil that reacts with methanol to produce esters, renewable diesel removes the oxygen from vegetable oil to create aromatic-free diesel fuel. You can only mix up to 7 percent of traditional biodiesel with gasoline, said Lehmus, but Neste says it can mix unlimited amounts of renewable diesel because it is so pure.

“We are following feedstock issues very carefully in relation to different markets,” said Lehmus. Among the feedstocks Neste uses or is testing are familiar substances such as palm oil, jatropha oil, camelina and rapeseed oil, but also experimental feedstocks such as algae oil, bacteria oil, purified/rendered animal fat and waste fat from the fish processing industry. “We are buying most of the animal fat that’s available,” he continued.

Neste predicts that global annual demand for biodiesel and renewable diesel will grow to 41 million tonnes by 2020, and it is putting its R&D money behind that belief. So is Gasum, with its investment of €20.5 million in biogas production, new transmission networks and new vehicle filling stations. In Finland, supported by a forest industry providing ample feedstock for all, such optimism is easy. But Finnish companies are looking beyond the bountiful local present to the global future of bioenergy.

Tildy Bayar, Associate Editor, Renewable Energy World
Julho 22, 2013

O Pulsar dos Mercados – Moçambique e Brasil”

Dia 20 de junho de 2013 – 9:30/16:30 – Exponor

A AEP – Associação Empresarial de Portugal tem vindo a desenvolver o projeto i-PME com vista à criação de uma rede colaborativa empresarial e institucional de aproximação sustentada aos mercados. Visando a construção e teste de uma abordagem integrada, a iniciativa i-PME teve, na sua primeira fase, o mercado angolano como mercado piloto, estendendo agora a sua atuação aos mercados brasileiro e moçambicano. Continue lendo

ARE YOU READY FOR CHINA?

aicepOportunidades de Negócio para PME portuguesas no Mercado Chinês.

A AICEP vai organizar duas sessões subordinadas ao tema “Are you ready for China? Oportunidades de Negócio para PME portuguesas no Mercado Chinês”, em Lisboa (Auditório CGD do ISEG – School of Economics & Management) e no Porto (Auditório da Porto Business School), durante as manhãs dos próximos dias 24 e 25 de Junho, respetivamente, às quais se seguirão reuniões bilaterais de aconselhamento individual, da parte da tarde.
Continue lendo

Enhanced competitiveness for Finnish companies in the textile, clothing and furniture sectors

ClothingEnhanced competitiveness for Finnish companies in the textile, clothing and furniture sectors through sourcing and production in Central and Eastern Europe and Turkey

Finnish companies operating in the textile, clothing and furniture sectors have a range of opportunities to increase their competitiveness, add capacity and source quality products by cooperating with companies in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) and Turkey. Countries in these regions are not too distant, offer cost-effective production resources and have long traditions in textile, clothing and furniture production, and companies in these locations have extensive experience in working with foreign partners. Continue lendo